Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000132 0.000147 0.000164 0.000183 0.000203 0.000226 0.000252
2025-08-24 0.000107 0.000128 0.000151 0.000178 0.000212 0.000250 0.000297
2025-08-31 0.000091 0.000114 0.000141 0.000177 0.000221 0.000274 0.000343
2025-09-07 0.000079 0.000104 0.000135 0.000176 0.000230 0.000299 0.000393
2025-09-14 0.000069 0.000095 0.000128 0.000174 0.000237 0.000321 0.000439
2025-09-21 0.000063 0.000089 0.000125 0.000176 0.000250 0.000350 0.000497
2025-09-28 0.000057 0.000084 0.000121 0.000177 0.000260 0.000376 0.000553
2025-10-05 0.000052 0.000078 0.000117 0.000176 0.000266 0.000397 0.000603
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000075 0.000116 0.000180 0.000280 0.000430 0.000673
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.000072 0.000113 0.000180 0.000288 0.000455 0.000732
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000068 0.000110 0.000180 0.000296 0.000478 0.000791
2025-11-02 0.000038 0.000064 0.000106 0.000178 0.000299 0.000495 0.000840
2025-11-09 0.000035 0.000061 0.000104 0.000179 0.000308 0.000524 0.000912
2025-11-16 0.000032 0.000057 0.000100 0.000176 0.000312 0.000543 0.000969
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000055 0.000097 0.000176 0.000318 0.000566 0.001035
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000052 0.000095 0.000176 0.000325 0.000593 0.001109
2025-12-07 0.000026 0.000049 0.000092 0.000174 0.000330 0.000613 0.001174
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000048 0.000091 0.000176 0.000341 0.000649 0.001270
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000046 0.000090 0.000177 0.000351 0.000680 0.001359
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000044 0.000087 0.000176 0.000355 0.000703 0.001434
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000044 0.000088 0.000180 0.000370 0.000747 0.001556
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000042 0.000086 0.000180 0.000378 0.000777 0.001650
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000040 0.000084 0.000180 0.000385 0.000806 0.001744